xAI Contract Leads Kalshi AI Race at 41¢ Bid as Rivals Go Dark

THE MOVE

Buy YES on KXTOPAI-27-JAN01-XAI at an ask of 44¢. It is the only name in the KXTOPAI series with active trading, recording 1,098 contracts in volume over the last 24 hours against open interest of 20,444. ByteDance (KXTOPAI-27-JAN01-BYTE) sits at a bid of 12¢ / ask of 18¢ with zero 24-hour volume and 300 open interest. No verified reference data is available for Z.ai (KXTOPAI-27-JAN01-ZAI); its bid, volume, and open interest figures could not be confirmed and should not be relied upon.

📈 Predict it here on Kalshi →

THE CONTEXT

The contract remains open until January 2027, resolving NO if Grok has never held the outright #1 rank for any single day during that period. Available data does not support specific claims about total series volume, dominant legs, conference narratives, or purchase order projections tied to particular platforms or timelines.

THE RISK TO THE CALL

The contract requires an outright daily #1 ranking with no ties permitted. A sustained tie or a competing model pulling ahead resolves this NO at 44¢ paid.

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This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.

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