[Whale Watch] $20K YES on Semifinals: Venezuela vs Italy at 65.0c (3:39:52 PM ET)

The Trade

A single trader bought 30,562 YES contracts on Venezuela advancing in the World Baseball Classic semifinals, spending $19,865 at 65.0c per contract. The trade landed at 3:39:52 PM ET and represents the largest single bet in this market’s recent flow, accounting for nearly all of the $22,110 in YES-side volume tracked today.

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The Market

The market is sitting at a bid of 64.0c and an ask of 65.0c, a tight 1-cent spread, with the last trade at 65.0c. The whale’s purchase consumed roughly 30,000 of the contracts available at that price level, reflected in the three-fill sweep noted in the trade flow.

The Context

This contract resolves YES if Venezuela defeats Italy in their World Baseball Classic semifinal game scheduled for March 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Venezuela reaching the semifinals reflects strong recent tournament performance, and the 65.0c price suggests the market currently favors them to win this matchup.

The Bottom Line

One trader committed $20K to Venezuela winning this semifinal, pushing through available liquidity in a few fills without moving the price. With the game hours away, this market is still live and the tight spread suggests active two-sided interest.

This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.

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