[Whale Watch] $3K YES on More Tech Layoffs in 2026 Than in 2025 at 87.2c (11:31:21 PM ET)

The Trade

Someone just bet $2,665 that tech layoffs in 2026 will outnumber those in 2025. That’s 3,056 contracts bought at 87.2 cents, meaning the market prices this outcome at roughly an 87% chance.

📈 Predict it here on Kalshi →

The Price Impact

The market barely flinched — price held at 87 cents before and after the trade, with zero net movement. Trade flow is leaning YES, with $3,537 on the YES side versus $394 on the NO side in recent activity.

What This Market Is

Kalshi is asking whether the tech sector will shed more jobs in 2026 than it did in 2025. YES pays if layoffs are higher year-over-year; NO pays if they’re flat or lower.

The Bottom Line

At 87 cents, the market is already heavily convinced 2026 will be a rougher year for tech workers than 2025, and this whale just doubled down on that view.

This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.

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