![Prediction market illustration for [Whale Watch] $14K YES on Government Shutdown At Least 55 Days at 96c (9:40:01 AM ET)](https://news2bet.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/government-shutdown-55-days-kalshi-prediction-market-768x419.jpg "[Whale Watch] $14K YES on Government Shutdown At Least 55 Days at 96c (9:40:01 AM ET)")
[Whale Watch] $14K YES on Government Shutdown At Least 55 Days at 96c (9:40:01 AM ET)
Government shutdown “At least 55 days” market holds at 96c after a $14,400 YES whale trade of 15,000 contracts on Kalshi.
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Trump’s Voter List Order Sparks State Revolts on Kalshi
Trump’s new voter-list order triggers multistate lawsuits. Kalshi’s Electoral Compact contract sits near 7 cents.
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Kalshi Traders Doubt Trump’s Iran Timeline for Strait of Hormuz
Kalshi traders give less than 50% odds the Strait of Hormuz reopens by June as Trump and Iran clash over war timelines.
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Kalshi Bettors Doubt a US-Iran Nuclear Deal Anytime Soon
Kalshi bettors give a US-Iran nuclear deal before May just a 10% chance as Trump addresses the nation Wednesday night.
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[Whale Watch] $5K NO on What will Nancy Pelosi say during MS NOW: Morning Joe? at 93c (9:06:00 AM ET)
NO pressure dominates the “What will Pelosi say on Morning Joe?” market, with a $5,459 whale trade pushing YES odds to 7%.
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Kalshi Traders Bet Strait of Hormuz Stays Nearly Shut
Kalshi markets price near-zero odds of normal Hormuz shipping as Trump’s April 6 deadline looms.
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Prediction Market Odds Shift as Sacks Exits Crypto Czar Role
Kalshi traders see a 34% chance of U.S. government AI takeover as Pentagon-Anthropic clash hits federal court.
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Kalshi Odds Shift as Iran Reopens Hormuz to Oil Tankers
Iran rejected talks on March 26, pushing WTI to $94. Kalshi now prices a 43% chance oil hits $98 before March 30 ends.
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Prediction Market Odds Shift as Trump Extends Iran Pause
Kalshi traders put just 15% odds on a US-Iran deal before May as Trump extends his military pause to April 6.
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[Whale Watch] $10K YES on How many times will Lawrence O’Donnell say Trump during The Last Word With Lawrence O’Donnell? at 99c (10:34:11 PM ET)
Last Word Trump-mention market hits 99c as $9,900 YES whale joins 172-trade session that drove price from 42c to 99c.
![Prediction market illustration for [Whale Watch] $5K NO on What will Nancy Pelosi say during MS NOW: Morning Joe? at 93c (9:06:00 AM ET)](https://news2bet.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/pelosi-morning-joe-kalshi-prediction-market-no-bet-768x419.jpg "[Whale Watch] $5K NO on What will Nancy Pelosi say during MS NOW: Morning Joe? at 93c (9:06:00 AM ET)")
![Prediction market illustration for [Whale Watch] $10K YES on How many times will Lawrence O'Donnell say Trump during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell? at 99c (10:34:11 PM ET)](https://news2bet.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/lawrence-odonnell-trump-mentions-kalshi-prediction-market-3-768x419.jpg "[Whale Watch] $10K YES on How many times will Lawrence O'Donnell say Trump during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell? at 99c (10:34:11 PM ET)")