Iran Nuclear Deal Odds on Kalshi as Ceasefire Clock Ticks
US-Iran ceasefire expires April 22. Kalshi traders price a nuclear deal before September at 60%.
-
-
Anthropic Code Leak Shakes IPO Race — Kalshi Market Holds
Anthropic’s double code leak rattles enterprise trust, but Kalshi bettors still favor it to IPO before OpenAI.
-
Trump’s Voter List Order Sparks State Revolts on Kalshi
Trump’s new voter-list order triggers multistate lawsuits. Kalshi’s Electoral Compact contract sits near 7 cents.
-
Kalshi Traders Doubt Trump’s Iran Timeline for Strait of Hormuz
Kalshi traders give less than 50% odds the Strait of Hormuz reopens by June as Trump and Iran clash over war timelines.
-
Kalshi Bettors Doubt a US-Iran Nuclear Deal Anytime Soon
Kalshi bettors give a US-Iran nuclear deal before May just a 10% chance as Trump addresses the nation Wednesday night.
-
New Kalshi Markets — Past 24 Hours (as of 9:06 AM ET, Apr 01)
Recap: 237 new prediction markets launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours across 23 events.
-
News Roundup — 236 Stories (as of 9:06 AM ET, Apr 1)
236 stories from 19 sources in the past 3 hours.
-
New Kalshi Markets — Past 24 Hours (as of 8:42 AM ET, Mar 31)
Recap: 124 new prediction markets launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours across 25 events.
-
Oil Prices Surge Past $100 — Kalshi Markets Price Extreme Spikes
Iran’s Hormuz closure sent oil past $100. Kalshi traders are pricing real odds of $160 or $200 WTI.
-
Kalshi Bets on a US-Iran Nuclear Deal Stay Low as Talks Stall
Iran rejected US ceasefire terms as talks stall. Kalshi’s deal contracts imply single-digit odds before May.
