![Prediction market illustration for [Whale Watch] $14K YES on Government Shutdown At Least 55 Days at 96c (9:40:01 AM ET)](https://news2bet.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/government-shutdown-55-days-kalshi-prediction-market-768x419.jpg "[Whale Watch] $14K YES on Government Shutdown At Least 55 Days at 96c (9:40:01 AM ET)")
[Whale Watch] $14K YES on Government Shutdown At Least 55 Days at 96c (9:40:01 AM ET)
Government shutdown “At least 55 days” market holds at 96c after a $14,400 YES whale trade of 15,000 contracts on Kalshi.
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Anthropic Code Leak Shakes IPO Race — Kalshi Market Holds
Anthropic’s double code leak rattles enterprise trust, but Kalshi bettors still favor it to IPO before OpenAI.
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Kalshi Traders Doubt Trump’s Iran Timeline for Strait of Hormuz
Kalshi traders give less than 50% odds the Strait of Hormuz reopens by June as Trump and Iran clash over war timelines.
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[Whale Watch] $5K YES on S&P 500 “6,410 or above” on Mar 31 at 97c (10:59:47 AM ET)
S&P 500 “6,410 or above” market on Kalshi surged from 88c to 99c as YES volume hit $15,392 across 93 trades in 49 minutes.
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[Whale Watch] $5K YES on Will the Citrini Scenario Happen? at 34c (10:49:07 AM ET)
Will the Citrini Scenario Happen? holds at 34c after a $5,100 YES whale trade, with price up 4c across 200 trades over 12.9 hours.
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[Whale Watch] $5K YES on S&P 500 at 6,435 or Above at 25c (10:44:33 AM ET)
S&P 500 “6,435 or above” YES contracts traded at 25c, with a $5,000 whale entry driving a net 24-cent price swing on Kalshi.
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[Whale Watch] $7K YES on S&P 500 “6,455 or above” on Mar 31 2026 at 37c (10:34:47 AM ET)
S&P 500 “6,455 or above” Kalshi market draws $7,400 YES bet at 37c, with price sliding 6 cents to a ~37% implied probability.
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[Whale Watch] $9K NO on Will the Citrini Scenario Happen? (Yes) at 66c (10:28:14 AM ET)
The Citrini scenario Yes outcome holds at 34c after a $9,111 NO bet places 13,783 contracts against economic collapse conditions triggering before July 2028.
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[Whale Watch] $9K YES on More Tech Layoffs in 2026 Than in 2025? at 86c (10:13:31 AM ET)
More Tech Layoffs in 2026 Than in 2025? holds at 86c after a $8,650 YES whale trade of 10,000 contracts with no price movement.
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[Whale Watch] $9K YES on Lowest Temperature in New York City on Mar 31, 2026 at 99c (9:37:04 AM ET)
Lowest Temperature in NYC on Mar 31, 2026 market hits 99c as an $8,673 YES whale trade prints with zero slippage.
![Prediction market illustration for [Whale Watch] $5K YES on S&P 500 "6,410 or above" on Mar 31 at 97c (10:59:47 AM ET)](https://news2bet.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/sp500-6410-kalshi-prediction-market-yes-768x419.jpg "[Whale Watch] $5K YES on S&P 500 \"6,410 or above\" on Mar 31 at 97c (10:59:47 AM ET)")
![Prediction market illustration for [Whale Watch] $5K YES on Will the Citrini Scenario Happen? at 34c (10:49:07 AM ET)](https://news2bet.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/citrini-scenario-kalshi-prediction-market-whale-768x419.jpg "[Whale Watch] $5K YES on Will the Citrini Scenario Happen? at 34c (10:49:07 AM ET)")
![Prediction market illustration for [Whale Watch] $5K YES on S&P 500 at 6,435 or Above at 25c (10:44:33 AM ET)](https://news2bet.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/sp500-kalshi-prediction-market-6435-odds-768x419.jpg "[Whale Watch] $5K YES on S&P 500 at 6,435 or Above at 25c (10:44:33 AM ET)")
![Prediction market illustration for [Whale Watch] $7K YES on S&P 500 "6,455 or above" on Mar 31 2026 at 37c (10:34:47 AM ET)](https://news2bet.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/sp500-kalshi-prediction-market-6455-odds-768x419.jpg "[Whale Watch] $7K YES on S&P 500 \"6,455 or above\" on Mar 31 2026 at 37c (10:34:47 AM ET)")
![Prediction market illustration for [Whale Watch] $9K NO on Will the Citrini Scenario Happen? (Yes) at 66c (10:28:14 AM ET)](https://news2bet.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/citrini-scenario-kalshi-prediction-market-no-bet-768x419.jpg "[Whale Watch] $9K NO on Will the Citrini Scenario Happen? (Yes) at 66c (10:28:14 AM ET)")
![Prediction market illustration for [Whale Watch] $9K YES on More Tech Layoffs in 2026 Than in 2025? at 86c (10:13:31 AM ET)](https://news2bet.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/tech-layoffs-2026-kalshi-prediction-market-2-768x419.jpg "[Whale Watch] $9K YES on More Tech Layoffs in 2026 Than in 2025? at 86c (10:13:31 AM ET)")
![Prediction market illustration for [Whale Watch] $9K YES on Lowest Temperature in New York City on Mar 31, 2026 at 99c (9:37:04 AM ET)](https://news2bet.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/nyc-lowest-temperature-march-31-kalshi-prediction-market-768x419.jpg "[Whale Watch] $9K YES on Lowest Temperature in New York City on Mar 31, 2026 at 99c (9:37:04 AM ET)")