[Whale Watch] $8K NO on S&P 500 Above 6614.9999 at 46c (9:45:46 AM ET)

Someone just bet against the S&P 500 hitting 6,615 on S&P price on Mar 25, 2026 at 10am EDT, placing $8,272 on the NO side at 46c. 17,982 NO contracts at 46c each totaled $8,271.72. The trade hit hard — price dropped 5c immediately and 5c net, moving from 51c down to 46c. The market now sits with a bid of 46c and ask of 51c, implying roughly a 54% chance of YES. Across the last 32 trades spanning 40 minutes, NO volume dominates at $8,475 vs. $436 YES.

📈 Predict it here on Kalshi →

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About Whale Watch
Instead of monitoring Kalshi yourself, we do it for you. News2Bet tracks every trade on the Kalshi prediction market exchange in real time and flags the biggest ones. We then write them up clearly so you can see exactly what happened: what was bet, at what price, and whether it moved the market.

What counts as a big trade? For sports and crypto markets, we report single trades of $25,000+. For parlay and combo bets, the threshold is $5,000+. For everything else — politics, culture, economy — it’s $5,000+. That’s it. No opinions, no predictions — just the trade, the data, and the market’s reaction.

This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.

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