[Whale Watch] $19K NO on S&P 500 Above 6,509.9999 at 3pm EDT at 93c (2:57:52 PM ET)

Someone just bet against the S&P 500 clearing 6,510 by 3pm EDT today, placing $18,600 NO on Kalshi’s S&P price market. 20,000 NO contracts at 93 cents each totaled $18,600.00. The trade moved the market 7 cents net, pushing YES implied probability down to roughly 7%. The market now sits at a 13c last trade, with the NO bid at 86c and ask at 99c. Across the last 103 trades spanning 43 minutes, NO volume totals $26,189 vs. $6,291 YES — a strongly one-sided session.

📈 Predict it here on Kalshi →

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About Whale Watch
Instead of monitoring Kalshi yourself, we do it for you. News2Bet tracks every trade on the Kalshi prediction market exchange in real time and flags the biggest ones. We then write them up clearly so you can see exactly what happened: what was bet, at what price, and whether it moved the market.

What counts as a big trade? For sports and crypto markets, we report single trades of $20,000+. For parlay and combo bets, the threshold is $5,000+. For everything else — politics, culture, economy — it’s $8,000+. That’s it. No opinions, no predictions — just the trade, the data, and the market’s reaction.

This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.

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