[Whale Watch] $18K NO on S&P 500 Above 6544.9999 at 2pm EDT at 92c (1:57:59 PM ET)

Someone just bet against the S&P 500 clearing 6,545 by 2pm EDT today, placing $18,400 NO on this market at 92c. 20,000 NO contracts at $0.92 each totaled $18,400.00. The trade had minimal immediate impact, moving the market just -1c net. NO contracts are now bid at 89c, with the YES side implying roughly an 8% chance the index hits 6,545. Across the last 103 trades spanning 57 minutes, NO volume totals $25,136 vs. $449 YES, as price collapsed from 70c to 8c on the YES side.

📈 Predict it here on Kalshi →

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About Whale Watch
Instead of monitoring Kalshi yourself, we do it for you. News2Bet tracks every trade on the Kalshi prediction market exchange in real time and flags the biggest ones. We then write them up clearly so you can see exactly what happened: what was bet, at what price, and whether it moved the market.

What counts as a big trade? For sports and crypto markets, we report single trades of $20,000+. For parlay and combo bets, the threshold is $5,000+. For everything else — politics, culture, economy — it’s $8,000+. That’s it. No opinions, no predictions — just the trade, the data, and the market’s reaction.

This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.

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