[Whale Watch] $5K YES on S&P 500 “6,410 or above” on Mar 31 at 97c (10:59:47 AM ET)

Someone just bet $5,388 that the S&P 500 will finish at 6,410 or above on March 31, 2026 at 11am EDT. The trade placed 5,555 YES contracts at 97 cents each, totaling $5,388.35. The buy moved the market 2 cents immediately, part of an 11-cent run from 88c to 99c across 93 trades spanning 49 minutes. The market now sits at 99c bid, implying a ~99% probability of resolution YES. Across those 93 trades, YES volume totals $15,392 versus $1,883 NO.

📈 Predict it here on Kalshi →

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About Whale Watch
Instead of monitoring Kalshi yourself, we do it for you. News2Bet tracks every trade on the Kalshi prediction market exchange in real time and flags the biggest ones. We then write them up clearly so you can see exactly what happened: what was bet, at what price, and whether it moved the market.

What counts as a big trade? For sports and crypto markets, we report single trades of $25,000+. For parlay and combo bets, the threshold is $8,000+. For everything else — politics, culture, economy — it’s $5,000+. That’s it. No opinions, no predictions — just the trade, the data, and the market’s reaction.

This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.

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