[Whale Watch] $10K NO on Will Raphael Warnock be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? at 99c (10:32:23 PM ET)
Someone just bet against Raphael Warnock becoming the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee, placing $9,900 on the NO side at 99c. The trade consisted of 10,000 NO contracts at $0.99 each, totaling $9,900.00. The trade caused no price movement, with NO impact recorded on entry. The market currently sits at 1c YES, implying roughly a 1% probability for Warnock. Across the last 200 trades spanning 70.1 days, NO volume dominates at $455,920 versus just $847 on the YES side.
About Whale Watch
Instead of monitoring Kalshi yourself, we do it for you. News2Bet tracks every trade on the Kalshi prediction market exchange in real time and flags the biggest ones. We then write them up clearly so you can see exactly what happened: what was bet, at what price, and whether it moved the market.
What counts as a big trade? For sports and crypto markets, we report single trades of $25,000+. For parlay and combo bets, the threshold is $5,000+. For everything else — politics, culture, economy — it’s $5,000+. That’s it. No opinions, no predictions — just the trade, the data, and the market’s reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.
Related Articles
- [Whale Watch] $50K NO on Will Phil Murphy be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? at 100c (10:23:58 AM ET)
- [Whale Watch] $20K NO on Will Jon Stewart be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? at 99c (7:04:25 PM ET)
- [Whale Watch] $10K NO on Will Jasmine Crockett Be the 2028 Democratic Nominee? at 100c (6:17:27 PM ET)