[Whale Watch] $50K NO on Will Phil Murphy be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? at 100c (10:23:58 AM ET)
Someone just bet $49,950 against Phil Murphy becoming the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee. 50,000 NO contracts at 100c each totaled $49,950. The trade registered zero immediate price impact with no slippage, reflecting the market’s near-zero liquidity. The YES side sits at 0.2c, implying essentially a 0% probability for Murphy. Across the last 47 trades spanning 274.7 days, NO volume totals $254,755 against just $317 YES — overwhelming one-sided flow against Murphy’s nomination.
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Instead of monitoring Kalshi yourself, we do it for you. News2Bet tracks every trade on the Kalshi prediction market exchange in real time and flags the biggest ones. We then write them up clearly so you can see exactly what happened: what was bet, at what price, and whether it moved the market.
What counts as a big trade? For sports and crypto markets, we report single trades of $25,000+. For parlay and combo bets, the threshold is $5,000+. For everything else — politics, culture, economy — it’s $5,000+. That’s it. No opinions, no predictions — just the trade, the data, and the market’s reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.
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