[Whale Watch] $4K NO on NYC High Temp 62-63°F on Mar 17, 2026 at 2c (12:00:57 AM ET)

The Trade

Someone just bet $3,762 that New York City’s high temperature will not land in the 62-63 degree range on March 17, 2026. That’s 3,839 contracts bought at 2 cents each, meaning the market prices this outcome at roughly a 2% chance. The trade swept three fills at the same price with no slippage.

📈 Predict it here on Kalshi →

The Price Impact

The price sat at 2 cents before the trade and stayed at 2 cents after. No movement at all — the market absorbed the full bet without flinching.

What This Market Is

Kalshi is asking whether NYC’s high temperature will hit exactly 62 or 63 degrees on a specific day in March 2026. YES pays if it lands in that narrow band, NO pays if it lands anywhere else.

The Bottom Line

At 2 cents, the market already thought this was a long shot, and someone just put $4K behind that skepticism.

This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.

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