[Whale Watch] $3K NO on Nasdaq-100 Above 24,859.99 on March 17, 2026 at 94c (1:09:20 PM ET)

The Trade

Someone just bet $2,820 that the Nasdaq-100 will NOT be above 24,859.99 at 2pm EDT on March 17, 2026. That’s 3,000 contracts at 94 cents each — meaning the market implies only a 6% chance the index clears that level. The NO side cost $2,820 to win roughly $180 if correct.

📈 Predict it here on Kalshi →

The Price Impact

The market showed 6 cents bid before the trade and didn’t move after — no slippage, no sweep, price held flat. All trade flow here was one-sided NO.

What This Market Is

This Kalshi contract asks whether the Nasdaq-100 closes above 24,859.99 at a specific moment on March 17, 2026. YES pays if it does, NO pays if it doesn’t.

The Bottom Line

At 94 cents, the market is almost certain the Nasdaq-100 won’t reach that level — and this whale just paid up to agree.

This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.

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