[Whale Watch] $5K NO on Miami High Temp 79-80°F on Mar 17, 2026 at 2c (11:17:43 PM ET)

The Trade

Someone just bet $4,900 that Miami’s high temperature will not land in the 79-80°F range on March 17, 2026. That’s 5,000 contracts sold at 2 cents each, meaning the market prices this specific outcome at roughly a 2% chance. Total cost to the trader was $4,900, collecting near the full payout if YES never resolves.

📈 Predict it here on Kalshi →

The Price Impact

The market was already sitting at 2 cents before the trade and didn’t budge after — no slippage, no sweep drama. All 5,000 contracts filled clean at 2 cents.

What This Market Is

Kalshi is asking whether Miami’s daily high on March 17, 2026 lands specifically between 79 and 80 degrees Fahrenheit. YES pays if it hits that narrow band; NO pays if it misses in either direction.

The Bottom Line

With a 2% implied probability, the market already considered this outcome nearly impossible — this whale just made sure they got paid to agree.

This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.

---

Related Articles

• [Whale Watch] $5K NO on Miami High Temp Above 80° on Mar 17, 2026 at 2c (11:16:56 PM ET)
• [Whale Watch] $4K NO on NYC High Temp 59-60°F on Mar 16, 2026 at 2c (9:50:09 PM ET)
• [Whale Watch] $8K NO on CPI Year-Over-Year Above 2.8% in Mar 2026 at 1c (8:59:47 PM ET)