[Whale Watch] $5K NO on Miami High Temp 77-78° on Mar 17, 2026 at 2c (11:17:58 PM ET)

The Trade

Someone just bet $4,900 that Miami’s high temperature will not land in the 77-78° range on March 17, 2026. That’s 5,000 contracts at 2 cents each, meaning the market prices this specific outcome at roughly a 2% chance. The sweep hit multiple price levels from 4c down to 2c to fill the full order.

📈 Predict it here on Kalshi →

The Price Impact

The contract was trading at 4c before this trade and dropped to 2c after, a meaningful move in a low-liquidity market. The same trader also hit the adjacent 79.5° bracket seconds earlier with an identical $4,900 NO bet.

What This Market Is

Kalshi is asking whether Miami’s daily high on March 17, 2026 will fall between 77 and 78 degrees Fahrenheit. YES pays if it lands there, NO pays if it doesn’t.

The Bottom Line

One whale just paid nearly $10K across two bets to say Miami’s temperature won’t hit those narrow windows next March 17.

This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.

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