[Whale Watch] $5K NO on Miami High Temp Above 80° on Mar 17, 2026 at 2c (11:16:56 PM ET)

The Trade

Someone just bet $4,725 that Miami’s high temperature will NOT exceed 80 degrees on March 17, 2026. They bought 4,821 NO contracts at 2 cents each, meaning the market puts only a 2% chance the high stays at or below 80. The trade swept multiple fills to complete.

📈 Predict it here on Kalshi →

The Price Impact

The market was already sitting at 2 cents bid before this trade and didn’t budge — it closed at 2 cents flat with zero price impact. All trade flow has been one-sided NO, with $4,755 total on that side and nothing on YES.

What This Market Is

This market asks whether Miami’s daily high temperature on March 17, 2026 will clear 80 degrees. YES pays if it does, NO pays if it doesn’t.

The Bottom Line

Someone put real money behind the obvious — mid-March Miami hitting 80 degrees is about as close to a sure thing as weather markets get.

This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.

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