New Kalshi Markets — Tuesday, March 17, 2026

Here are the new prediction markets that launched on Kalshi that our algorithm picked up for Tuesday, March 17, 2026. We found 134 unique markets across 25 new contracts, plus 5,378 recurring bracket markets.

---

New Contracts

Entertainment — 7 contracts, 57 markets

How many streams will the top song on Spotify's Daily Top Songs Global have on Mar 17, 2026? — 21 outcomes

• 20,000,000 or above — bid 0¢ / ask 9¢
• 999,999 or below — bid 0¢ / ask 9¢
• 9,000,000 – 9,999,999 — bid 0¢ / ask 5¢
• 8,000,000 – 8,999,999 — bid 0¢ / ask 5¢
• 7,000,000 – 7,999,999 — bid 0¢ / ask 9¢

+ 16 more outcomes

Oscar nominations for Best Picture? — 19 outcomes

• Wild Horse Nine — bid 47¢ / ask 50¢
• Werwulf — bid 21¢ / ask 28¢
• The Social Reckoning — bid 32¢ / ask 39¢
• Sense and Sensibility — bid 24¢ / ask 28¢
• Project Hail Mary — bid 64¢ / ask 65¢

+ 14 more outcomes

How many spots on the Billboard Hot 100's top 10 will Harry Styles hold for the week of Mar 28, 2026? — 11 strikes (showing 5)

Strike	Price
Exactly 9 songs	bid 0¢ / ask 1¢
Exactly 8 songs	bid 0¢ / ask 1¢
Exactly 7 songs	bid 0¢ / ask 1¢
Exactly 6 songs	bid 0¢ / ask 1¢
Exactly 5 songs	bid 0¢ / ask 1¢

+ 6 more

How many #1 songs in 2026? — 2 outcomes

• More than 13 — bid 67¢ / ask 77¢
• More than 14 — bid 56¢ / ask 66¢

2026 Grammy nominations for Best New Artist? — 2 outcomes

• Jessie Murph — bid 36¢ / ask 44¢
• Megan Moroney — bid 71¢ / ask 79¢

Will Dune: Part Three be delayed?: Before Dec 18, 2026 (bid 1¢ / ask 25¢)

Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 51?: Michael B. Jordan (bid 50¢ / ask 57¢)

Politics — 12 contracts, 36 markets

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (3/16 – 3/22) — 9 strikes (showing 5)

Strike	Price
Above 70	bid 3¢ / ask 94¢
Above 60	bid 3¢ / ask 94¢
Above 50	bid 10¢ / ask 94¢
Above 40	bid 46¢ / ask 91¢
Above 30	bid 76¢ / ask 91¢

+ 4 more

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — 7 outcomes

• Before Jan 1, 2027 — bid 80¢ / ask 93¢
• Before Jul 1, 2026 — bid 57¢ / ask 73¢
• Before Jun 1, 2026 — bid 46¢ / ask 59¢
• Before May 15, 2026 — bid 32¢ / ask 48¢
• Before May 1, 2026 — bid 21¢ / ask 37¢

+ 2 more outcomes

When will Trump visit China? — 5 outcomes

• Before May 15, 2026 — bid 73¢ / ask 74¢
• Before May 8, 2026 — bid 11¢ / ask 61¢
• Before May 1, 2026 — bid 56¢ / ask 60¢
• Before Jun 1, 2026 — bid 72¢ / ask 78¢
• Before Jul 1, 2026 — bid 84¢ / ask 90¢

Will the SEC eliminate the quarterly reporting requirement? — 3 outcomes

• Before Jan 1, 2027 — bid 72¢ / ask 82¢
• Before Apr 1, 2027 — bid 78¢ / ask 88¢
• Before Jul 1, 2026 — bid 18¢ / ask 27¢

Who will hold more governorships after the midterms? — 3 outcomes

• Democratic Party — bid 19¢ / ask 26¢
• Republican Party — bid 60¢ / ask 68¢
• Tie — bid 10¢ / ask 18¢

Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba? — 3 outcomes

• Before Jan 1, 2027 — bid 73¢ / ask 83¢
• Before Aug 1, 2026 — bid 65¢ / ask 75¢
• Before May 1, 2026 — bid 41¢ / ask 49¢

2028 Republican nominee for President?: Rand Paul (bid 1¢ / ask 2¢)

Will Congress reauthorize FISA before it expires?: Yes (bid 66¢ / ask 74¢)

Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026?: David Sacks (bid 37¢ / ask 50¢)

Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026?: Bill Clinton (bid 16¢ / ask 24¢)

Which bills will become law in 2026?: FISA Section 702 reauthorization (any length) (bid 81¢ / ask 88¢)

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?: Tucker Carlson (bid 11¢ / ask 17¢)

Elections — 3 contracts, 24 markets

IL-09 Democratic primary margin of victory? — 9 outcomes

• Laura Fine wins — bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
• Kat Abughazaleh, 4-8% — bid 3¢ / ask 7¢
• Kat Abughazaleh, 8%+ — bid 2¢ / ask 6¢
• Kat Abughazaleh, 0-4% — bid 15¢ / ask 18¢
• Daniel Biss, 4-8% — bid 26¢ / ask 29¢

+ 4 more outcomes

Virginia redistricting referendum margin of victory? — 8 outcomes

• Yes, 6-9% — bid 10¢ / ask 18¢
• Yes, 15%+ — bid 2¢ / ask 9¢
• Yes, 3-6% — bid 10¢ / ask 18¢
• Yes, 12-15% — bid 5¢ / ask 10¢
• Yes, 9-12% — bid 10¢ / ask 18¢

+ 3 more outcomes

Paris mayor election runoff margin of victory? — 7 outcomes

• Rachida Dati wins — bid 1¢ / ask 99¢
• Emmanuel Grégoire, 5-10% — bid 1¢ / ask 99¢
• Emmanuel Grégoire, 25%+ — bid 0¢ / ask 20¢
• Emmanuel Grégoire, 20-25% — bid 0¢ / ask 99¢
• Emmanuel Grégoire, 0-5% — bid 1¢ / ask 99¢

+ 2 more outcomes

Financials — 1 contract, 15 markets

WTI oil price on Mar 18, 2026? — 15 strikes (showing 5)

Strike	Price
$100 or above	bid 7¢ / ask 45¢
$99 or above	bid 13¢ / ask 42¢
$98 or above	bid 7¢ / ask 52¢
$97 or above	bid 13¢ / ask 94¢
$96 or above	bid 12¢ / ask 82¢

+ 10 more

Economics — 2 contracts, 2 markets

PPI YoY > CPI YoY for 3+ consecutive months in 2026?: Above CPI YoY (bid 1¢ / ask 99¢)

US trade deficit for 2026?: 119.6‎ billion to 119.9‎ billion (bid 1¢ / ask 4¢)

---

Recurring Markets

5,378 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).

Category	Markets	Series	Top Series
Financials	5075	7	Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, Gold Weekly price , +4 more
Climate and Weather	163	28	Minneapolis Daily High Temperature, San Francisco High Temperature Daily, New Orleans Max temp Daily, +25 more
Entertainment	88	9	Daily US Spotify artist chart, Daily US Spotify chart Runner-up, Daily Global Spotify songs, +6 more
Economics	51	2	US gas price up, TSA check-ins this week
Politics	1	1	EO this week?

---

All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask prices at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.