New Kalshi Markets — Tuesday, March 17, 2026

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will Anora win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (e.g. “Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we link the official contract rules so you can read exactly how it settles and what counts, plus a search link so you can find it on Kalshi and see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

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For Tuesday, March 17, 2026, our scan picked up 134 unique markets across 25 new events, plus 5,363 recurring bracket markets.

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New Events

Entertainment — 7 events, 57 markets

How many streams will the top song on Spotify's Daily Top Songs Global have on Mar 17, 2026? — 21 outcomes — listed Mar 16, 2026 at 7:02:21 PM ET
📄 Read the contract rules  |  🔎 Find KXSPOTSTREAMGLOBAL on Kalshi

• 20,000,000 or above — bid 0¢ / ask 9¢
• 999,999 or below — bid 0¢ / ask 9¢
• 9,000,000 – 9,999,999 — bid 0¢ / ask 5¢
• 8,000,000 – 8,999,999 — bid 0¢ / ask 5¢
• 7,000,000 – 7,999,999 — bid 0¢ / ask 9¢

+ 16 more outcomes

Oscar nominations for Best Picture? — 19 outcomes — listed Mar 16, 2026 at 2:48:36 PM ET
📄 Read the contract rules  |  🔎 Find KXOSCARNOMPIC on Kalshi

• Wild Horse Nine — bid 52¢ / ask 59¢
• Werwulf — bid 21¢ / ask 28¢
• The Social Reckoning — bid 33¢ / ask 40¢
• Sense and Sensibility — bid 24¢ / ask 28¢
• Project Hail Mary — bid 64¢ / ask 65¢

+ 14 more outcomes

How many spots on the Billboard Hot 100's top 10 will Harry Styles hold for the week of Mar 28, 2026? — 11 brackets (showing 5) — listed Mar 16, 2026 at 12:05:14 PM ET
📄 Read the contract rules  |  🔎 Find KXTOP10BILLBOARDHS on Kalshi

Bracket	Price
Exactly 9 songs	bid 0¢ / ask 1¢
Exactly 8 songs	bid 0¢ / ask 1¢
Exactly 7 songs	bid 0¢ / ask 1¢
Exactly 6 songs	bid 0¢ / ask 1¢
Exactly 5 songs	bid 0¢ / ask 1¢

+ 6 more

How many #1 songs in 2026? — 2 outcomes — listed Mar 16, 2026 at 8:12:27 PM ET
📄 Read the contract rules  |  🔎 Find KXTOPSONGS on Kalshi

• More than 13 — bid 67¢ / ask 77¢
• More than 14 — bid 56¢ / ask 66¢

2026 Grammy nominations for Best New Artist? — 2 outcomes — listed Mar 16, 2026 at 11:59:44 AM ET
📄 Read the contract rules  |  🔎 Find KXGRAMMYNOMNAOTY on Kalshi

• Jessie Murph — bid 36¢ / ask 44¢
• Megan Moroney — bid 71¢ / ask 79¢

Will Dune: Part Three be delayed?: Before Dec 18, 2026 (bid 11¢ / ask 20¢) — listed Mar 16, 2026 at 8:31:21 PM ET
📄 Read the contract rules  |  🔎 Find KXMOVIEDELAYDUNEPT3 on Kalshi

Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 51?: Michael B. Jordan (bid 55¢ / ask 56¢) — listed Mar 16, 2026 at 12:11:27 PM ET
📄 Read the contract rules  |  🔎 Find KXSNLHOST on Kalshi

Politics — 12 events, 36 markets

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (3/16 – 3/22) — 9 brackets (showing 5) — listed Mar 16, 2026 at 11:01:51 AM ET
📄 Read the contract rules  |  🔎 Find KXHORMUZTRAFFICW on Kalshi

Bracket	Price
Above 70	bid 4¢ / ask 11¢
Above 60	bid 15¢ / ask 24¢
Above 50	bid 39¢ / ask 46¢
Above 40	bid 58¢ / ask 61¢
Above 30	bid 82¢ / ask 85¢

+ 4 more

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — 7 outcomes — listed Mar 16, 2026 at 11:57:10 AM ET
📄 Read the contract rules  |  🔎 Find KXHORMUZNORM on Kalshi

• Before Jan 1, 2027 — bid 83¢ / ask 95¢
• Before Jul 1, 2026 — bid 65¢ / ask 82¢
• Before Jun 1, 2026 — bid 52¢ / ask 69¢
• Before May 15, 2026 — bid 47¢ / ask 63¢
• Before May 1, 2026 — bid 41¢ / ask 53¢

+ 2 more outcomes

When will Trump visit China? — 5 outcomes — listed Mar 16, 2026 at 5:54:03 PM ET
📄 Read the contract rules  |  🔎 Find KXTRUMPCHINA on Kalshi

• Before May 15, 2026 — bid 67¢ / ask 71¢
• Before May 8, 2026 — bid 46¢ / ask 54¢
• Before May 1, 2026 — bid 43¢ / ask 50¢
• Before Jun 1, 2026 — bid 66¢ / ask 72¢
• Before Jul 1, 2026 — bid 77¢ / ask 84¢

Will the SEC eliminate the quarterly reporting requirement? — 3 outcomes — listed Mar 16, 2026 at 5:05:05 PM ET
📄 Read the contract rules  |  🔎 Find KXSECQUARTERLY on Kalshi

• Before Jan 1, 2027 — bid 72¢ / ask 82¢
• Before Apr 1, 2027 — bid 78¢ / ask 88¢
• Before Jul 1, 2026 — bid 18¢ / ask 27¢

Who will hold more governorships after the midterms? — 3 outcomes — listed Mar 16, 2026 at 2:28:37 PM ET
📄 Read the contract rules  |  🔎 Find KXGOVWINS on Kalshi

• Democratic Party — bid 19¢ / ask 26¢
• Republican Party — bid 61¢ / ask 67¢
• Tie — bid 10¢ / ask 18¢

Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba? — 3 outcomes — listed Mar 16, 2026 at 2:05:09 PM ET
📄 Read the contract rules  |  🔎 Find KXTRADEDEALCUBA on Kalshi

• Before Jan 1, 2027 — bid 73¢ / ask 83¢
• Before Aug 1, 2026 — bid 65¢ / ask 75¢
• Before May 1, 2026 — bid 41¢ / ask 48¢

2028 Republican nominee for President?: Rand Paul (bid 0¢ / ask 1¢) — listed Mar 16, 2026 at 9:01:41 PM ET
📄 Read the contract rules  |  🔎 Find KXPRESNOMR on Kalshi

Will Congress reauthorize FISA before it expires?: Yes (bid 73¢ / ask 80¢) — listed Mar 16, 2026 at 6:23:58 PM ET
📄 Read the contract rules  |  🔎 Find KXFISAEXTEND on Kalshi

Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026?: David Sacks (bid 37¢ / ask 46¢) — listed Mar 16, 2026 at 4:50:42 PM ET
📄 Read the contract rules  |  🔎 Find KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE on Kalshi

Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026?: Bill Clinton (bid 16¢ / ask 24¢) — listed Mar 16, 2026 at 4:48:00 PM ET
📄 Read the contract rules  |  🔎 Find KXTRUMPMEETING on Kalshi

Which bills will become law in 2026?: FISA Section 702 reauthorization (any length) (bid 81¢ / ask 88¢) — listed Mar 16, 2026 at 12:06:41 PM ET
📄 Read the contract rules  |  🔎 Find KXBILLS on Kalshi

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?: Tucker Carlson (bid 12¢ / ask 18¢) — listed Mar 16, 2026 at 10:08:26 AM ET
📄 Read the contract rules  |  🔎 Find KXFEDERALCHARGE on Kalshi

Elections — 3 events, 24 markets

IL-09 Democratic primary margin of victory? — 9 outcomes — listed Mar 16, 2026 at 1:12:05 PM ET
📄 Read the contract rules  |  🔎 Find KXMOVIL9DNOM on Kalshi

• Laura Fine wins — bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
• Kat Abughazaleh, 4-8% — bid 6¢ / ask 11¢
• Kat Abughazaleh, 8%+ — bid 3¢ / ask 6¢
• Kat Abughazaleh, 0-4% — bid 17¢ / ask 23¢
• Daniel Biss, 4-8% — bid 26¢ / ask 27¢

+ 4 more outcomes

Virginia redistricting referendum margin of victory? — 8 outcomes — listed Mar 16, 2026 at 1:13:53 PM ET
📄 Read the contract rules  |  🔎 Find KXMOVVAREDISTRICT on Kalshi

• Yes, 6-9% — bid 10¢ / ask 18¢
• Yes, 15%+ — bid 2¢ / ask 9¢
• Yes, 3-6% — bid 11¢ / ask 17¢
• Yes, 12-15% — bid 5¢ / ask 10¢
• Yes, 9-12% — bid 10¢ / ask 18¢

+ 3 more outcomes

Paris mayor election runoff margin of victory? — 7 outcomes — listed Mar 16, 2026 at 1:31:54 PM ET
📄 Read the contract rules  |  🔎 Find KXMOVPARISRUNOFF on Kalshi

• Rachida Dati wins — bid 24¢ / ask 36¢
• Emmanuel Grégoire, 5-10% — bid 12¢ / ask 24¢
• Emmanuel Grégoire, 25%+ — bid 0¢ / ask 1¢
• Emmanuel Grégoire, 20-25% — bid 0¢ / ask 1¢
• Emmanuel Grégoire, 0-5% — bid 42¢ / ask 54¢

+ 2 more outcomes

Financials — 1 event, 15 markets

WTI oil price on Mar 18, 2026? — 15 brackets (showing 5) — listed Mar 16, 2026 at 7:00:44 PM ET
📄 Read the contract rules  |  🔎 Find KXWTI on Kalshi

Bracket	Price
$100 or above	bid 11¢ / ask 18¢
$99 or above	bid 14¢ / ask 47¢
$98 or above	bid 20¢ / ask 47¢
$97 or above	bid 31¢ / ask 45¢
$96 or above	bid 41¢ / ask 66¢

+ 10 more

Economics — 2 events, 2 markets

PPI YoY > CPI YoY for 3+ consecutive months in 2026?: Above CPI YoY (bid 5¢ / ask 95¢) — listed Mar 16, 2026 at 6:18:05 PM ET
📄 Read the contract rules  |  🔎 Find KXPPIVSCPI on Kalshi

US trade deficit for 2026?: 119.6‎ billion to 119.9‎ billion (bid 1¢ / ask 4¢) — listed Mar 16, 2026 at 11:51:34 AM ET
📄 Read the contract rules  |  🔎 Find KXTRADEDEFICIT on Kalshi

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Recurring Markets

5,363 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).

Category	Markets	Series	Top Series
Financials	5060	6	Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, Gold Weekly price , +3 more
Climate and Weather	163	28	Minneapolis Daily High Temperature, San Francisco High Temperature Daily, New Orleans Max temp Daily, +25 more
Entertainment	88	9	Daily US Spotify artist chart, Daily US Spotify chart Runner-up, Daily Global Spotify songs, +6 more
Economics	51	2	US gas price up, TSA check-ins this week
Politics	1	1	EO this week?

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All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask prices at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.