[Whale Watch] $13K YES on Bitcoin Price Above $72,999.99 on Mar 16, 2026 at 96.0c (11:45:34 PM ET)

THE TRADE

A single buyer placed $12,788 on YES across 13,321 contracts at 96.0c, lifting the offer at 11:45:34 PM ET. The trade was part of a rapid sweep that included two additional fills seconds earlier — 1,375 contracts at 96.0c ($1,320) and 1,250 contracts at 95.0c ($1,188) — suggesting the buyer worked through multiple price levels to fill the full position.

📈 Predict it here on Kalshi →

THE IMPACT

The market moved from 92.0c to 95.0c during the broader sweep activity, a 3-cent gain, before settling with a bid of 91.0c and ask of 92.0c at last report. The whale trade itself registered a net price change of 0.0c at fill, meaning the order was largely absorbed without pushing the ask higher after execution. The spread held at 1.0c, suggesting a liquid book at this level. Overall YES flow in this market was dominant, with 98% of 24-hour volume going to the YES side.

THE CONTEXT

This market resolves YES if Bitcoin’s price is at or below $72,999.99 on March 16, 2026 at 12am EDT — meaning a YES buyer profits if Bitcoin stays under that threshold. Bitcoin was recently testing the $75,000 resistance level, making this a near-the-money bet with real price proximity. With the expiration roughly four days out, near-term price action will be the key catalyst to watch.

DISCLAIMER

This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.

---

Related Articles

• [Whale Watch] $12K YES on BTC Up or Down 15-Minute at 0.89c (11:31:03 PM ET)
• [Whale Watch] $8K YES on Best Actress Oscar at 96c (10:30:48 PM ET)
• [Whale Watch] $27K YES on Alcaraz vs. Rinderknech (Match Winner) at 97c (9:14:29 PM ET)