[Whale Watch] $6K NO on Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their April 2026 meeting? at 98c (10:14:32 AM ET)

Someone just bet against a 25bps Fed rate cut in April 2026, placing $5,880 NO on the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps market at 98c. 6,000 NO contracts at 98c each, totaling $5,880.00. The trade registered zero immediate price impact, with no slippage despite the market carrying no resting liquidity. The market currently sits bid 2c / ask 3c, implying roughly a 2% probability of a 25bps cut at the April 2026 meeting. Across the last 200 trades spanning 3.1 days, YES volume totals $11,963 vs. $14,353 NO.

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Instead of monitoring Kalshi yourself, we do it for you. News2Bet tracks every trade on the Kalshi prediction market exchange in real time and flags the biggest ones. We then write them up clearly so you can see exactly what happened: what was bet, at what price, and whether it moved the market.

What counts as a big trade? For sports and crypto markets, we report single trades of $25,000+. For parlay and combo bets, the threshold is $8,000+. For everything else — politics, culture, economy — it’s $5,000+. That’s it. No opinions, no predictions — just the trade, the data, and the market’s reaction.

This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.


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