Prediction Market Odds Shift as OpenAI Ads Top $100M Pace
Anthropic eyes an October IPO. Kalshi traders give it a 67% chance of going public before OpenAI.
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Prediction Market Odds Shift as Sacks Exits Crypto Czar Role
Kalshi traders see a 34% chance of U.S. government AI takeover as Pentagon-Anthropic clash hits federal court.
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Kalshi Odds Shift as Iran Reopens Hormuz to Oil Tankers
Iran rejected talks on March 26, pushing WTI to $94. Kalshi now prices a 43% chance oil hits $98 before March 30 ends.
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Prediction Market Odds Shift as Trump Extends Iran Pause
Kalshi traders put just 15% odds on a US-Iran deal before May as Trump extends his military pause to April 6.
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[Whale Watch] $10K YES on How many times will Lawrence O’Donnell say Trump during The Last Word With Lawrence O’Donnell? at 99c (10:34:11 PM ET)
Last Word Trump-mention market hits 99c as $9,900 YES whale joins 172-trade session that drove price from 42c to 99c.
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[Whale Watch] $9K YES on How many times will Lawrence O’Donnell say Trump during The Last Word With Lawrence O’Donnell? at 99c (10:29:10 PM ET)
The Last Word Trump-mention market hit 99c implied probability after a $9,405 YES whale trade on 9,500 contracts.
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Anthropic Wins Injunction vs. DOD — Prediction Market Odds Shift
A federal judge ruled the DOD retaliated illegally against Anthropic. Kalshi traders put the odds of Anthropic winning at trial at roughly 86%.
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[Whale Watch] $10K YES on How many times will Lawrence O’Donnell say Trump during The Last Word With Lawrence O’Donnell? at 99c (10:23:34 PM ET)
Lawrence O’Donnell Trump-mention market surged from 45c to 98c as $10K YES whale enters at 99c with 92% of volume on the YES side.
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[Whale Watch] $9K YES on How many times will Lawrence O’Donnell say Trump during The Last Word With Lawrence O’Donnell? at 99c (10:18:50 PM ET)
The Last Word Lawrence O’Donnell Trump-mention market hits 99c after $9,462 whale YES bet drives price from 63c to 99c across 200 trades.
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Meta’s $10B Texas Data Center Fuels Kalshi Nuclear Base Market
Meta’s $10B Texas data center is making headlines, but the real bet on Kalshi is whether a nuclear-powered data center lands on a U.S. military base by 2030 — currently 58%.
![Prediction market illustration for [Whale Watch] $10K YES on How many times will Lawrence O'Donnell say Trump during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell? at 99c (10:34:11 PM ET)](https://news2bet.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/lawrence-odonnell-trump-mentions-kalshi-prediction-market-3-768x419.jpg "[Whale Watch] $10K YES on How many times will Lawrence O'Donnell say Trump during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell? at 99c (10:34:11 PM ET)")
![Prediction market illustration for [Whale Watch] $9K YES on How many times will Lawrence O'Donnell say Trump during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell? at 99c (10:29:10 PM ET)](https://news2bet.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/lawrence-odonnell-trump-mentions-kalshi-prediction-market-2-768x419.jpg "[Whale Watch] $9K YES on How many times will Lawrence O'Donnell say Trump during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell? at 99c (10:29:10 PM ET)")
![Prediction market illustration for [Whale Watch] $10K YES on How many times will Lawrence O'Donnell say Trump during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell? at 99c (10:23:34 PM ET)](https://news2bet.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/lawrence-odonnell-trump-mentions-kalshi-prediction-market-1-768x419.jpg "[Whale Watch] $10K YES on How many times will Lawrence O'Donnell say Trump during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell? at 99c (10:23:34 PM ET)")
![Prediction market illustration for [Whale Watch] $9K YES on How many times will Lawrence O'Donnell say Trump during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell? at 99c (10:18:50 PM ET)](https://news2bet.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/lawrence-odonnell-trump-mentions-kalshi-prediction-market-768x419.jpg "[Whale Watch] $9K YES on How many times will Lawrence O'Donnell say Trump during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell? at 99c (10:18:50 PM ET)")
