Iran Nuclear Deal Odds on Kalshi as Ceasefire Clock Ticks
US-Iran ceasefire expires April 22. Kalshi traders price a nuclear deal before September at 60%.
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[Whale Watch] $14K YES on Government Shutdown At Least 55 Days at 96c (9:40:01 AM ET)
Government shutdown “At least 55 days” market holds at 96c after a $14,400 YES whale trade of 15,000 contracts on Kalshi.
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Anthropic Code Leak Shakes IPO Race — Kalshi Market Holds
Anthropic’s double code leak rattles enterprise trust, but Kalshi bettors still favor it to IPO before OpenAI.
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Trump’s Voter List Order Sparks State Revolts on Kalshi
Trump’s new voter-list order triggers multistate lawsuits. Kalshi’s Electoral Compact contract sits near 7 cents.
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Kalshi Traders Doubt Trump’s Iran Timeline for Strait of Hormuz
Kalshi traders give less than 50% odds the Strait of Hormuz reopens by June as Trump and Iran clash over war timelines.
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Kalshi Bettors Doubt a US-Iran Nuclear Deal Anytime Soon
Kalshi bettors give a US-Iran nuclear deal before May just a 10% chance as Trump addresses the nation Wednesday night.
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New Kalshi Markets — Past 24 Hours (as of 9:06 AM ET, Apr 01)
Recap: 237 new prediction markets launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours across 23 events.
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News Roundup — 236 Stories (as of 9:06 AM ET, Apr 1)
236 stories from 19 sources in the past 3 hours.
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[Whale Watch] $44K YES on Democrats Win the House (Democratic Party) at 87c (11:40:21 AM ET)
Democrats win the House market holds at 87c after a $44K YES whale bet on the Democratic Party outcome across 50,269 contracts.
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[Whale Watch] $7K YES on Aubry Bracco to Win Survivor Season 50 at 85c (11:39:36 AM ET)
Aubry Bracco’s Survivor Season 50 win market hit 85c after a $7,086 YES whale trade across 8,337 contracts on Kalshi.
![Prediction market illustration for [Whale Watch] $14K YES on Government Shutdown At Least 55 Days at 96c (9:40:01 AM ET)](https://news2bet.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/government-shutdown-55-days-kalshi-prediction-market-768x419.jpg "[Whale Watch] $14K YES on Government Shutdown At Least 55 Days at 96c (9:40:01 AM ET)")
![Prediction market illustration for [Whale Watch] $7K YES on Aubry Bracco to Win Survivor Season 50 at 85c (11:39:36 AM ET)](https://news2bet.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/aubry-bracco-survivor-season-50-kalshi-prediction-market-768x419.jpg "[Whale Watch] $7K YES on Aubry Bracco to Win Survivor Season 50 at 85c (11:39:36 AM ET)")