[Whale Watch] $322K NO on Will Arkansas Win the College Basketball National Championship? at 98c (11:00:47 AM ET)

Someone just bet against Arkansas winning the national championship, placing $322,477 NO on the Arkansas March Madness market at 98c. The trade covered 329,058 NO contracts at $0.98 each, totaling $322,477. The market absorbed the trade without movement, with price holding flat at 2c and no slippage recorded. Arkansas currently sits at a 2% implied probability on the YES side. Across the last 200 trades spanning 13.1 hours, NO volume totals $420,302 against $8,341 YES — heavily skewed against Arkansas.

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About Whale Watch
Instead of monitoring Kalshi yourself, we do it for you. News2Bet tracks every trade on the Kalshi prediction market exchange in real time and flags the biggest ones. We then write them up clearly so you can see exactly what happened: what was bet, at what price, and whether it moved the market.

What counts as a big trade? For sports and crypto markets, we report single trades of $25,000+. For parlay and combo bets, the threshold is $5,000+. For everything else — politics, culture, economy — it’s $5,000+. That’s it. No opinions, no predictions — just the trade, the data, and the market’s reaction.

This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.

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