[Whale Watch] $34K NO on Will Arkansas Win the College Basketball National Championship? at 98c (11:14:08 AM ET)

Someone just bet against Arkansas winning the national title, placing $33,879 NO on the Arkansas championship market at 98c. The trade covered 34,570 NO contracts at $0.98 each, totaling $33,878.60. The position registered no immediate price impact, though the market has shed 1c over the session. YES sits at 2c, implying roughly a 2% probability for Arkansas. Across the last 200 trades spanning 10.1 hours, NO volume totals $70,784 vs. $2,970 YES — a heavily NO-skewed flow despite YES contracts outnumbering NO by contract count.

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About Whale Watch
Instead of monitoring Kalshi yourself, we do it for you. News2Bet tracks every trade on the Kalshi prediction market exchange in real time and flags the biggest ones. We then write them up clearly so you can see exactly what happened: what was bet, at what price, and whether it moved the market.

What counts as a big trade? For sports and crypto markets, we report single trades of $25,000+. For parlay and combo bets, the threshold is $5,000+. For everything else — politics, culture, economy — it’s $5,000+. That’s it. No opinions, no predictions — just the trade, the data, and the market’s reaction.

This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.

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