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TOP PICKS- Iran Nuclear Deal Odds on Kalshi as Ceasefire Clock Ticks
US-Iran ceasefire expires April 22. Kalshi traders price a nuclear deal before September at 60%. - [Whale Watch] $14K YES on Government Shutdown At Least 55 Days at 96c (9:40:01 AM ET)
![Prediction market illustration for [Whale Watch] $14K YES on Government Shutdown At Least 55 Days at 96c (9:40:01 AM ET)](https://news2bet.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/government-shutdown-55-days-kalshi-prediction-market-300x164.jpg "[Whale Watch] $14K YES on Government Shutdown At Least 55 Days at 96c (9:40:01 AM ET)")
Government shutdown “At least 55 days” market holds at 96c after a $14,400 YES whale trade of 15,000 contracts on Kalshi. - Anthropic Code Leak Shakes IPO Race — Kalshi Market Holds
Anthropic’s double code leak rattles enterprise trust, but Kalshi bettors still favor it to IPO before OpenAI. - Trump’s Voter List Order Sparks State Revolts on Kalshi
Trump’s new voter-list order triggers multistate lawsuits. Kalshi’s Electoral Compact contract sits near 7 cents. - Kalshi Traders Doubt Trump’s Iran Timeline for Strait of Hormuz
Kalshi traders give less than 50% odds the Strait of Hormuz reopens by June as Trump and Iran clash over war timelines. - Kalshi Bettors Doubt a US-Iran Nuclear Deal Anytime SoonKalshi bettors give a US-Iran nuclear deal before May just a 10% chance as Trump addresses the nation Wednesday night.
- New Kalshi Markets — Past 24 Hours (as of 9:06 AM ET, Apr 01)Recap: 237 new prediction markets launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours across 23 events.
- News Roundup — 236 Stories (as of 9:06 AM ET, Apr 1)236 stories from 19 sources in the past 3 hours.
- [Whale Watch] $44K YES on Democrats Win the House (Democratic Party) at 87c (11:40:21 AM ET)Democrats win the House market holds at 87c after a $44K YES whale bet on the Democratic Party outcome across 50,269 contracts.
Latest Stories
View all →- Iran Nuclear Deal Odds on Kalshi as Ceasefire Clock TicksUS-Iran ceasefire expires April 22. Kalshi traders price a nuclear deal before September at 60%.
- [Whale Watch] $14K YES on Government Shutdown At Least 55 Days at 96c (9:40:01 AM ET)Government shutdown “At least 55 days” market holds at 96c after a $14,400 YES whale trade of 15,000 contracts on Kalshi.
- Anthropic Code Leak Shakes IPO Race — Kalshi Market HoldsAnthropic’s double code leak rattles enterprise trust, but Kalshi bettors still favor it to IPO before OpenAI.
- Trump’s Voter List Order Sparks State Revolts on KalshiTrump’s new voter-list order triggers multistate lawsuits. Kalshi’s Electoral Compact contract sits near 7 cents.
- Kalshi Traders Doubt Trump’s Iran Timeline for Strait of HormuzKalshi traders give less than 50% odds the Strait of Hormuz reopens by June as Trump and Iran clash over war timelines.
- Kalshi Bettors Doubt a US-Iran Nuclear Deal Anytime SoonKalshi bettors give a US-Iran nuclear deal before May just a 10% chance as Trump addresses the nation Wednesday night.
- New Kalshi Markets — Past 24 Hours (as of 9:06 AM ET, Apr 01)Recap: 237 new prediction markets launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours across 23 events.